Ever since Mallory 1987 - which got a lot right - I'd assumed that the Afanasievo culture was Yamnaya-like, and not Aryan. We have a nonAryan IndoEuropean language-family from the area, but only the one: Tocharian. So Afanasievo was the first protoTocharian society - yes? Sadly no! says Douglas Adams.
Adams accepts the consensus that Afanasievo culture was Yamnaya East. But the dates don't line up right for the Tocharoi to ... exist, yet. Rather - says Adams - we should look at Afanasievo as we look at the Anatolians: a second sister to the IndoEuropeans, but not IndoEuropean itself like Tocharian was.
Apparently there was a paper for this Afanasievo-Yamnaya-TarimJunggar link against direct Afanasievo-Tarim. Clémence Hollard et al., "New genetic evidence of affinities and discontinuities between bronze age Siberian populations" ed. Am J Phys Anthropol. 167.1 (2018), 97-107. I'd missed that.
Adams bemoans the lack of constraint for Tocharian origins beyond that, so suggests the eastern Kazakhstan pre-Andronovo for future archaeology. Andronovo itself is solidly Aryan, like the later Tocharians' technical glossary.
STRIKE TARIM 10/28/21: Real Tarimese were A.N.E. For P.I.E. we look to Junggar.
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