Observers of the past American election sometimes discuss the Coat Tail Effect. The Republicans did well at the State level. They didn't win the Electoral College. The Senate was a draw, to such an extent Georgia must redo both their Senatorial elections next January. Now: on to the House.
The Republicans fell short of wresting the House. It would seem like evidence against Trump's coat-tails. Here's Audacious Epigone on that: if each state's Electors were decided from the House elections, Trump actually would have won AZ, GA, WI, PA. And, he notes, Blue NC is an artifact of one race there being uncontested.
The D win in the House looks like a gerrymandered anti-R map, to me. Mind, we're coming up for redrawing those maps. The House looks attainable in 2022.
Epigone figures that independents voted heavily Biden, but that many of these didn't bother down-ballot or even voted R. Other independents sat out the top and voted R down-ballot (I did this in 2012); although I don't think very many this time.
I expect Epigone is right inasmuch as the Trump family will be shadow tribunes of the Deplorables. At least twenty serving Senators don't like it (plus McSally and I'd add Gardner but they're outta there). I expect a few will be in primary trouble. And Georgia Republicans might not fight for McConnell's Senate as they fought (and lost) for Trump's White House.
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