Sunday, May 31, 2020

The blue-state model: stay out of the nursing home

The butcher's bill in the USA is likely 130k as of now. IFR holds true at 1% like it did at the start. So whassup?

There are various allegations about reclassifying deaths - on the part of Team Red. WI is cooking the books on the Team Blue side. WI's reclassifications keep the official numbers lower than the excess death rate should be. On the other hand FL is looking to have OVERreported. Governor DeSantis errs on the side of caution. When the Right tout FL they're justified - which hints well for TN. Unsure about others like TX and GA - or CO.

There's a real question about how this disease is so clustered with the Team Blue districts. Does this mean their harsher lockdowns don't work?

The numbers got so high because of nursing-homes; this 0.6% accounts for (by some reckoning) about 43% of the death although if the overall deaths are higher, I expect that better-documented proportion be lower. Also some excess deaths, at least in the UK where the situation is similar were "Alzheimers" - read: shock, and nurse-abandonment, even without personally bearing the pathogen.

The nursing-home excess is squarely on Team Blue's governors. Even where they imposed decent policies for the rest of us, their murderous actions against Teh Oldz ran up the score against themselves.

That doesn't mean their stringent measures elsewhere were/are bad per se.

No comments:

Post a Comment